Monday, November 26, 2012

First Look at NuStar Energy L.P. (NS)

A friend asked me to take a first look at NuStar Energy L.P. (NS).  It’s not a bargain yet.  Read the rest to learn why.

NuStar Energy L.P. (NS)

Price: $41.23 on 11/13/2012

Shares: 70.76 million

Market capitalization: $2.92 billion

Image001

What does the company do to earn profits?

Based in San Antonio, Texas, NuStar Energy L.P. is a master limited partnership spun off from refiner Valero Energy. Through growth and acquisitions, NuStar has become one of the world's largest independent liquids storage and transportation operators. Assets include 97 million barrels of storage capacity, 8,000 miles of pipeline across the Mid-Continent, Gulf Coast, Caribbean, and Europe. NuStar recently decided to sell 50% of its asphalt refining business to a joint venture.

Morningstar’s take:

NuStar Energy operates a geographically diverse network of crude oil and refined product pipelines and terminals that provides fairly steady, fee-based cash flow. NuStar differentiates itself from other MLPs with international assets which, though less predictable, add growth potential and diversify cash flow. Nearly half of NuStar's refined product terminal capacity--about 30 million barrels--is abroad in the U.K., the Caribbean, Canada, and Mexico. While foreign operations bring geopolitics, currency risk, and tax leakage into play, they can also provide better returns because these factors deter many of NuStar's competitors.

Bonds outstanding: no bond data at Morningstar.com.  That usually means they have no bonds outstanding.

Times bond interest earned: N/A

Preferred stock: N/A

DIVIDEND RECORD – NuStar has grown their dividend slightly since 2008, but they don’t have the earnings to sustain the dividend in the future.  Expect a cut.

Image002

Dividend: $1.11 quarterly

Dividend yield: 10.8%  ($4.44 annual dividend / $41.23 share price)

Dividend payout ratio: negative ratio ($4.44 / -$3.12 using 2012 Google Finance EPS) OR 207% ($4.44/$2.14 five yr avg. earning power)

EARNING POWER – $2.14 @ 70.76 million shares

(Earnings adjusted for changes in capitalization)

EPS

Net income

Shares

Adjusted EPS

12/2007

$2.74

$150 M

47 M

$2.12

12/2008

$4.22

$254 M

53 M

$3.59

12/2009

$3.47

$255 M

55 M

$3.18

12/2010

$3.19

$239 M

63 M

$3.38

12/2011

$2.78

$221 M

65 M

$3.12

12/2012 (est)

($2.90)

($180.2 M)

70.76 M

($2.90) est

EPS

Net income

Shares

Adjusted EPS

2012 Q1

$0.23

$26 M

70.76 M

$0.36

2012 Q2

($3.56)

($247 M)

70.76 M

($3.49)

2012 Q3

($0.09)

$4 M

70.76 M

$0.06

2012 Q4 (est)

$0.52

$36.8 M

70.76 M

$0.52

2012 total (est)

($2.90)

($180.2 M)

70.76 M

($2.90)

Six year average adjusted earnings per share is $2.14

Consider contrarian buying below $17.12 (8 times average adjusted EPS)

Consider value buying below $25.68 (12 times average adjusted EPS)

NuStar Energy L.P. (NS) is currently trading at 19.26 times average adjusted EPS.  This is almost speculatively pricing.

Consider speculative selling above $42.80 (20 times average adjusted EPS)

BALANCE SHEET – NuStar Energy has a weak balance sheet.

Image004

Book value per share: $37.57 ($2.659 B equity / 70.76 M shares)

Price to book value ratio: 1.09 (under 1.0 is good)

Tangible book value: $25.57 ($1.809 B tangible equity / 70.76 M shares)

Price to tangible book value ratio: 0.78

Current ratio: 0.78 ($864 M current assets / $1.11 B current liabilities) (over 2.0 is good)

Quick ratio:  0.096 ($107 M cash / $1.11 B current liabilities) (over 1.0 is good)

Debt to equity ratio: 0.58 (lower is better)

Percent of total assets:

            Real assets (property, plant, and equipment) – 58%

            Current assets – 16.11%

            Intangibles – 15.84%

            Other long term assets – 9.23%

CONCLUSION – Don’t be fooled by NuStar’s recent decline in price.  It isn’t a bargain yet.  The company is almost speculatively priced, has an unsustainable dividend, and a weak balance sheet.  I wouldn’t buy it until the price declines below $25.68 per share and the balance sheet improves in the several categories.

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DISCLOSURE – I don’t own NuStar Energy L.P. (NS).

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Monday, October 29, 2012

Keynesian deficit spending madness

I will begin writing about high dividend stocks again after a little vacation.  I’m going to concentrate on non-US high dividend stocks.  But until then check out this interesting, short article on GDP growth.

Government deficit spending was the only reason the US 3rd quarter GDP grow went up.  This is a recipe for disaster.

http://reason.com/blog/2012/10/29/3rd-quarter-gdp-growth-due-to-government

Of course, GDP is a made up Keynesian number that really makes no sense, but it is widely believed and followed by the public at large.  This article explains the inherent fallacies that make up the GDP number (C+I+G=Baloney http://mises.org/daily/4482 )

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Wednesday, September 26, 2012

A First Look at Giant Miner Rio Tinto

I use Google Alerts on “high dividend stocks” to see what is being published online on the subject.  Insider Monkey’s article got my attention because I hadn’t done a first look on any of his “5 High-growth, High Dividend Stocks”.  The five stocks are Rio Tinto (RIO), Enterprise Product Partners (EPD), Siemens AG (SI), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), and British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC (BSY)

http://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/5-high-growth-high-dividend-stocks-20007/

I write a first look at article on each of these.  Rio Tinto PLC (RIO) is the first one up.

Rio Tinto (RIO)

Price: $47.46

Shares: 1.85 billion

Market capitalization: $87.9 billion

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What does the company do to earn profits?  Rio Tinto searches for and extracts a variety of minerals worldwide, with the heaviest concentrations in North America and Australia. Major products include aluminum, copper, diamonds, energy products, gold, industrial minerals, and iron ore. The 1995 merger of RTZ and CRA, via a dual-listed structure, created the present-day company. The two operate as a single business entity. Shareholders in each company have equivalent economic and voting rights in Rio as a whole.

Morningstar’s take: Rio Tinto is a top-tier global miner along with BHP Billiton BHP, Brazil's Vale VALE, and U.K.-based Anglo American AAUKY. A world-class asset base and capable management make Rio Tinto one of the few miners to earn more than its cost of capital through the commodity cycle. Geographic and product diversification give the company relatively stable cash flows and lower operating risk than many of its mining peers. Most revenue comes from the relative safe havens of Australia, North America, and Europe, though operations span six continents.

Bonds outstanding: none

Times bond interest earned: not applicable

Preferred stock: none.

DIVIDEND RECORD  Rio Tinto pays a semi-annual dividendThe dividend payment amounts vary and are not predictable.  Here is the 5 year dividend history chart:

Image005

Dividend: $1.65 (annual dividend from FEB 2012 $0.91 and AUG 2012 $0.74)

Dividend yield: 3.4% ($1.65 annual dividend / $47.46 share price)

Dividend payout ratio: 73% using earning power of $2.24 per share from Google Finance –OR- 42% using average adjusted EPS of $3.91

EARNING POWER – $3.91 @ 1.85 billion shares

(Earnings adjusted for changes in capitalization)

Year

EPS

Net Income

Shares

Adjusted EPS

2006

$5.56

$7,438 M

1,339 M

$4.02

2007

$5.66

$7,312 M

1,291 M

$3.95

2008

$2.85

$3,676 M

1,334 M

$1.99

2009

$2.75

$4,872 M

1,770 M

$2.63

2010

$7.26

$14,324 M

1,973 M

$7.74

2011

$3.01

$5,826 M

1,936 M

$3.15

2012

?

?

1,850 M

?

Six year average adjusted earnings per share is $3.91

Consider contrarian buying below $31.28 (8 times average adjusted EPS)

Consider value buying below $46.92 (12 times average adjusted EPS)

Rio Tinto is currently trading at 12.1 times average adjusted EPS.  This stock is priced for investment.

Consider speculative selling above $78.20 (20 times average adjusted EPS)

BALANCE SHEET – Morningstar’s database is not working properly, so I don’t have the five year balance sheet data for Rio Tinto.

Book value per share: $33.98 ($62.861 B equity / 1.85 B shares)

Price to book value ratio: 1.4 (under 1.0 is good)

Tangible book value: $21.00 (equity - $23.997 B in intangibles / 1.85 B shares)

Price to tangible book value ratio: 2.26 (under 1.0 is really good)

Current ratio: 1.51 (over 2.0 is good) latest quarter

Quick ratio: 1.07 (over 1.0 is good)

Debt to equity ratio: 0.35 (lower is better)

Percent of total assets:

            Real assets (property, plant, and equipment) – 58.06%

            Current assets – 15.76%

            Intangibles – 13.38%

            Other long term assets – 12.8%

CONCLUSION – Rio Tinto is currently a decent dividend stock, but its dividend is not entirely safe.  The global recession currently underway will drop Rio Tinto’s price.  Their price will drop because worldwide demand for commodities lessens during recessions.  Their customers will buy less mined commodities at lower prices, which will hurt profitability.  Stay away from RIO until the depths of the recession.  This could be a long time.

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DISCLOSURE – I don’t own Rio Tinto (RIO).

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Thursday, September 20, 2012

I've been wrong about AGNC for the past year.

I’ll admit it.  I was wrong about American Capital Agency Corp. (AGNC) share price direction in the last year.  I thought that their shrinking interest rate spreads and dividend cuts would have hurt the share price, but they haven’t.  There has been a sustained 10 month rally in AGNC stock since November 2011.  Eventually this rally must end, but Keynesian investors don’t seem to care.  They love the Federal Reserve’s QE3.

Image003

AGNC is a mortgage REIT.  They make money by borrowing short term and then lend the money long term by buying agency mortgage backed securities.

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Monday, September 17, 2012

Marc Faber: Fed's QE Forever is Ludicrous; No Country Has Become Rich From Consumption

Marc Faber is dead on in this short article.  He points out that if money printing solved problems, then Zimbabwe would be an economic powerhouse.  If running huge deficits worked, then Greece would be the most successful European economy.

The Keynesian in charge of the central banks around the world are madmen.

Her is the short article from Marc Faber:

http://www.bi-me.com/main.php?id=59324&t=1&cg=4

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Thursday, September 13, 2012

What If November Changes Nothing? by Andrew P. Napolitano

Neither candidate for the American presidency wants to end the Federal Reserve. Here is a list of many of the things they agree on. This is a race between a socialist and a national socialist. I won't be voting.

http://lewrockwell.com/napolitano/napolitano67.1.html

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Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Your First Step into the World of Bitcoins; An Excellent Primer.

The Wall Street investing game is rigged against you.  The theft of customer funds after the MF Global bankruptcy should have you worried about the safety of your brokerage account assets.

http://tinyurl.com/MFGlobalTheft

There is a new currency that you can buy to thwart the efforts of the Federal Reserve and the Wall Street banksters.  Do you have some of your investments in bitcoins?  Do you even know what a bitcoin is?  If you answered no to these two questions, then you had better read this concise, non-technical explanation of the bitcoin ecosystem:

http://blog.bitinstant.com/blog/2012/7/5/a-business-primer-on-the-bitcoin-ecosystem-erik-voorhees.html

You can listen to the article while driving in your car here:

        <!—Start of SpokenText player à

        <script type=”text/javascript” language=”javascript”>

               var recordingUrl = “http://www.spokentext.net/members/Gorbash91/A_Business_Primer_on_the_Bitcoin_...”;

               var width = “100”;

               var height = “20” ;   

        </script>

              

        <script type=”text/javascript” language=”javascript” src=”http://www.spokentext.net/display_player.php”></script>

        <!—End of SpokenText player à

I will be writing more about bitcoins in the future.  I’ll discuss how many of them that there will ever be, how they can be secured, and how much it costs to convert your national currency into bitcoins.

Be seeing you!

Monday, September 10, 2012

Keynesians make no sense. See why with some humor.

This guy does a humorous job of explaining the stupidity of Keynesian economics in a few minutes.

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Tuesday, September 4, 2012

The Importance of Saving Money

South Park clip inspired by MF Global and other legal thefts:

http://www.southparkstudios.com/clips/222624/the-importance-of-saving-money

Don’t put your hard earned savings into the common brokerage accounts.  Consider putting some of your savings into bitcoins.  Learn more at www.weusecoins.com .

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Thursday, August 23, 2012

Why California and Other State Pensions are Just Like Social Security.

The California government employees pension fund (CalPERS) is caught in a war between the current government workers and the retired government workers.  It is the biggest pension fund in the USA and its problems are typical of all government pensions.  It has overpromised and it is underfunded.  This is not going to end well for California state retirees, current government employees, or California taxvictims.

CalPERS Defends Pension Benefits While Risking Losses

By James Nash - Aug 19, 2012 10:01 PM MT

The California Public Employees’ Retirement System, the largest U.S. pension, is defending government workers against criticism of their benefits even while it risks losses as municipalities, faced with rising retirement costs, file for bankruptcy.

Pension funds like to buy bonds because fund managers believe that bonds carry less risk than stocks.  Therefore, CalPERS is a large buyer of municipal bonds.  It bought Stockton and San Bernardino municipal bonds.  It probably bought Greek bonds also.  Why not?  The knuckleheads running this fund lost almost a billion dollars on Enron and WorldCom bankruptcies (http://www.treasurer.ca.gov/publications/actions.pdf).  The $290.8 million at stake amount to one-tenth of one percent of the funds assets.

The $239.1 billion fund is the largest creditor in bankruptcy cases filed by two California cities, Stockton and San Bernardino, since the end of June, with a total of $290.8 million at stake.

Current government workers in Stockton and San Bernardio account for 0.7% of CalPERS total contributions.

Increasing retiree obligations are straining budgets of cities across the Golden State, still grappling with income- and sales-tax revenue reduced by the longest recession since the Great Depression. The two bankrupt cities represent 0.7 percent of employer contributions to CalPERS, according to actuarial statements. Still, others may follow if judges relieve them of pension commitments, said Karol Denniston, a bankruptcy lawyer at Schiff Hardin LLP based in San Francisco.

“The briefs that have been filed by the insurers are interesting in that they’re arguing that CalPERS should be treated like any other creditor,” she said by telephone. “CalPERS is going to argue that they’re a different kind of creditor, in that they hold the money in trust for the retirees.”

Stockton, a city of about 292,000, about 80 miles (130 kilometers) east of San Francisco, and San Bernardino, with 209,000 residents, about 60 miles east of Los Angeles, both cited rising employee retirement costs as factors that drove them to seek court protection. A third community in bankruptcy, Mammoth Lakes, hobbled by a legal judgment, owes CalPERS $4.2 million, according to its filing.

Stockton Precedent

“Where this is so important is that we know Stockton is going to be precedential,” Denniston said.

CalPERS is a Stockton bondholder (they are playing the role of the northern European bankers) and Stockton is in serious financial turmoil (they are playing the role of Greece).

Stockton is trying to become the first American city since the 1930s to use bankruptcy to force bondholders to take less than the principal they’re owed. The city will need approval from a federal judge in Sacramento to impose any cuts on creditors.

In an Aug. 2 statement responding to insurer Assured Guaranty’s objections to Stockton’s bankruptcy filing, CalPERS general counsel Peter Mixon argued that the interests of pensioners should trump those of other creditors.

Mr. Mixon’s comments are designed to elicit emotional support to CalPERS predicament by claiming that the public employees are not in a position to evaluate credit risk.  CalPERS fund managers are responsible for evaluating municipal government credit risk.  CalPERS fund managers had proven themselves to be as stupid as the northern European bankers that lent money to Greece.

“The obligations owed to the public workers of the city have priority over those of general unsecured creditors including bondholders,” Mixon wrote. “Unlike insurance companies, policemen, firefighters, and other public employees are not in a position to evaluate credit risk of their employers.”

Even as it defends its standing in the Stockton case, CalPERS is working to counter the notion that pension costs are a significant factor in current and potential municipal bankruptcies.

‘Not Fair’

“It’s not fair to scapegoat public employees and pensions for the financial woes of our cities,” Rob Feckner, the chairman of the CalPERS board, wrote in an Aug. 8 op-ed in the Sacramento Bee. Feckner is an executive vice president of the California Labor Federation, which represents 2.1 million unionized workers, about half of them in government.

So, what then are the real causes of current and potential municipal bankruptcies?  Not unsustainable pensions with rising costs.  Oh, no.  I couldn’t be that.

“The real culprit is the economy and housing market, along with financial decisions made by city officials,” he said. “Pension costs are a small piece of the budget.”

CalPERS’ position contradicts the realities facing many municipalities, said Chris McKenzie, executive director of the League of California Cities. Reducing pension costs is the top priority this year for the Sacramento-based organization, McKenzie said by e-mail.

Rising Costs

“Cities statewide have seen pension costs rise to the point that they are no longer viewed as sustainable,” McKenzie said. “Soaring pension costs are a serious concern.”

While pension costs are roughly 10 percent of most city budgets, municipalities need flexibility to deal with them when revenues slump, said Dan Pellissier, president of California Pension Reform.

CalPERS is a ponzi scheme just like Social Security.  It is obligated to pay the pension to the retirees, but they also know that city/county/state budgets will be destroyed by rising pension costs.  Current workers in the ponzi scheme must be courted and reassured that the ponzi scheme really isn’t a ponzi scheme.  The current workers are needed to pay for the retirees.  That’s why CalPERS representatives are talking out of both sides of their mouths.

“It’s ironic that CalPERS is defending a system that is placing an unsustainable burden on employers’ budgets,” Pellissier said in an interview in Anaheim, California, where he spoke at a CalPERS forum on pension legislation. “CalPERS has to find out a way to work with government agencies that have overpromised benefits based on contribution rates that have been artificially low.”

So we learn that the municipalities are the source of 14 percent of CalPERS income annually.  As CalPERS investment returns fall short of their assumptions of 7.5% rate of return they will demand higher contributions from current workers to “save the system”.  Eventually, the retirees will get screwed when the younger California voters outnumber them.  This will take a while, but it will happen.

More than 1,500 cities, counties and other units of government pay into the fund, according to a CalPERS fact sheet. Such employer contributions accounted for $7.5 billion, or less than 14 percent of CalPERS’ total income in 2010-11; most of the income came from investment earnings.

Investments Return

CalPERS, which posted a 1 percent return on investments for the year ended June 30, has about 72 percent of the assets needed to pay long-term obligations to retirees, spokesman Brad Pacheco said.

CalPERS claims to have 72 percent of the assets it needs to keep the ponzi scheme going (based on false assumptions to begin with).  But let’s assume Mr. Pacheco is correct.  Where is CalPERS going to get the other 28 percent of assets that it needs to keep things going?  Its going to get it from the current workers in the form of higher contributions.  The more municipalities that go bankrupt; the more CalPERS doesn’t have enough assets to cover the current pension obligations to retirees.  This is exactly the same problem as Social Security and Medicare, but on a state level.

Even if the three bankrupt cities withheld their entire payments due to CalPERS, it would not “move the needle” on the pension’s funded status, Pacheco said in an e-mail message.

Robert Udall Glazier, a CalPERS deputy director, said leaders of the fund view cities’ financial distress “with great concern.”

“These cities,” he said, “are our partners in providing services and a better quality of life for Californians.”

Let me translate: We need the money from the current city employees to make up for our poor investment performance and growing pension payouts.  If the stock market doesn’t do what it did from 1982-2000, then we’re screwed.  If the Federal Reserve prints trillions of dollars and the banks lend it out, then there will be massive inflation which will destroy the asset value of all these bonds we’ve bought from the Greeks – Ahem! I mean cities.

The Stockton bankruptcy case is In re Stockton, 12-32118, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Eastern District of California (Sacramento).

To contact the reporter on this story: James Nash in Los Angeles at jnash24@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Stephen Merelman at smerelman@bloomberg.net

The good news is that the State of California, the counties, and the cities will not be able to afford all the stupid government spending and regulations that they have put into place.  There will be more freedom once they go bankrupt through visible default on their welfare obligations.  That is good for individual liberty.

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Friday, August 17, 2012

TIP OF THE WEEK - Avoid Bank Safe Deposit Boxes For Valuables

Avoid Bank Safe Deposit Boxes

Jason Brizic

August 17th, 2012

This story should concern you if you value your privacy and have a safe deposit box.

Your possessions such as precious metals and family heirlooms are not safe in a bank safe deposit box.

Bank officers can get into your safe deposit box for flimsy reasons.  They will also open your box if a government agent has some paperwork to open it.

Here is just one reason why you should avoid bank safe deposit boxes:

http://www.youtube.com/embed/ygG29W0DQno

For more tips, go here:

http://www.myhighdividendstocks.com/category/tip-of-the-week

Friday, August 10, 2012

First Look at Penn West Petroleum (PWE).

I used to own Penn West Energy (PWE) several years ago when it paid a monthly dividend.  Today I take a first look at PWE on this blog.  The dollar values are in Canadian dollars, but the exchange rate is 1 USD = 0.99499 CAD.  They are basically interchangeable at today’s exchange rates.  PWE is a high dividend stock, but it has some earnings and balance sheet problems that will be exacerbated by falling energy prices.  The price of oil and natural gas will drop when the world falls back into recession due to the sovereign debts crisis.  To see how I can to these conclusions read on.

Penn West Petroleum (PWE)

Price: $14.19

Shares: 474.58 million

Market capitalization: $6.74 billion

Image002

What does the company do to earn profits?  Penn West Petroleum Ltd., based in Calgary, Alberta, is an independent Canadian energy company focused on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas resources in nearly 6.5 million acres across Saskatchewan, Alberta, and British Columbia. At the end of 2011, the company reported proven reserves before royalties of 499 million barrels of oil equivalent. Daily production averaged about 163,000 barrels of oil equivalent in 2011, at a ratio of 63% oil/37% gas.

Morningstar’s take: Penn West seeks to develop oil and gas reserves in the relatively mature environment of the Western Canadian sedimentary basin. Management's strategy is two-pronged: Develop additional reserves in existing producing zones through horizontal drilling and enhanced recovery efforts, and perform exploratory drilling to add new reserves. Exploration efforts are concentrated in light and medium oil plays, as Penn West seeks to increase oil in the production mix and take advantage of more the desirable oil pricing environment.

Bonds outstanding: none

Times bond interest earned: not applicable

Preferred stock: none.

DIVIDEND RECORD  Penn West Petroleum (PWE) paid a monthly dividend through 2010.  In 2011, they switched to quarterly dividends.  But, they also cut the dividend in 2009, 2010, and 2011.  Here are the annual dividend payments over the last few years.

Dividend: $0.27 quarterly ($1.08 annual dividend)

Dividend yield: 7.6% ($1.08 annual dividend / $14.19 share price)

Dividend payout ratio: 85.7% using earning power of $1.26 per share

EARNING POWER – $1.26 @ 474.58 million shares

(Earnings adjusted for changes in capitalization)

EPS

Net income

Shares

Adjusted EPS

2007

$0.73

$176 M

242 M

$0.37

2008

$3.22

$1,221 M

383 M

$2.57

2009

($0.35)

($144 M)

413 M

($0.30)

2010

$2.48

$1,110 M

452 M

$2.34

2011

$1.36

$638 M

467 M

$1.34

2012

474.58 M

Six year average adjusted earnings per share is $1.26

Consider contrarian buying below $10.08 (8 times average adjusted EPS)

Penn West Petroleum is currently trading at 11.3 times average adjusted EPS.  This stock is priced for value.

Consider value buying below $15.12 (12 times average adjusted EPS)

Consider speculative selling above $25.20 (20 times average adjusted EPS)

BALANCE SHEET – The company’s lack of current assets and cash compared to current liabilities shows its financial weakness

Image013

Book value per share: $19.10 ($9.067 B equity / 474.58 M shares)

Price to book value ratio: 0.74 (under 1.0 is good)

Tangible book value: $14.78 (equity - $2.02 B in intangibles / 474.58 M shares)

Price to tangible book value ratio: 0.96 (under 1.0 is really good)

Current ratio: 0.50 (over 2.0 is good) ($675 M current assets / $1.333 B current liabilities)

Quick ratio:  no cash so N/A (over 1.0 is good) 0.36 according to Morningstar.com.  They probably used the receivables as a substitute of cash.

Debt to equity ratio: 0.38 (lower is better)

Percent of total assets:

            Real assets (property, plant, and equipment) – 79.27%

            Current assets – 4.3%

            Intangibles – 12.86%

            Other long term assets – 3.57%

CONCLUSION – Penn West Petroleum is currently a high dividend stock, but its dividend is not entirely safe.  The company reported disappointing 2nd quarter 2012 earnings. 

http://www.nasdaq.com/article/penn-west-quarterly-profit-declines-on-lower-prices-cuts-outlook---update-20120810-00378

Oil and natural gas prices have been down and will go down further when the worldwide recession worsens.  It is a value stock by common measures trading at only 11.3 times average adjusted earnings, but I think you’ll be able to buy it below $10.00 per share when the recession hits in 2013-2014.  I don’t like the weak current ratio and quick ratio.  That makes the balance sheet weak in my opinion.  Put this one on your watch list for under $10.00.

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DISCLOSURE – I don’t own Penn West Petroleum (PWE).

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