http://www.marketwatch.com/story/mortgage-reit-dividends-look-risk-free-this-summer-2011-06-30?reflink=MW_news_stmp
Southern Copper (SCCO) Showing Bearish Technicals With 7.23% Dividend Yield
Posted: Thursday, June 30, 2011 7:52 AM EDT
Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO) closed Wednesday's winning trading session at $32.25. In the past year, the stock has hit a 52-week low of $25.65 and 52-week high of $50.35. Southern Copper (SCCO) stock has been showing support around $31.50 and resistance in the $33.34 range. Technical indicators for the stock are Bearish. For a hedged play on Southern Copper (SCCO), look at the Aug '11 $32.00 covered call for a net debit in the $30.65 area. That is also the break-even stock price for this trade. This covered call has a duration of 51 days, provides 4.96% downside protection and an assigned return rate of 4.40% for an annualized return rate of 31.52% (for comparison purposes only). A lower-cost hedged play for Southern Copper (SCCO) would use a longer term call option in place of the covered call stock purchase. To use this strategy look at going long the Southern Copper (SCCO) Jan '12 $25.00 call and selling the Aug '11 $32.00 call for a total debit of $6.40. The trade has a lifespan of 51 days and would provide 2.64% downside protection and an assigned return rate of 9.37% for an annualized return rate of 67.1% (for comparison purposes only). Southern Copper (SCCO) has a current annual dividend yield of 7.23%. [THA-Seven Summits Research]
Conclusion: Technical analysis means nothing without an understanding of the fundamentals of the copper commodity price. Wait until this stock drops to $23.04 (which is 12x average earnings). The dividend isn't safe.
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